Monthly Archives: JUNE 2018
RASHTRIYA BAL SWASTHYA KARYAKRAM
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Tertiary level treatment to sick children must be provided within stipulated time: Brahm Mohindra
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Google can predict when you’ll die using AI
Google knows everything (or at least it feels that way), and now it can even tell you when you’ll die.
The tech giant has partnered up with Stanford University to help test a new computer system to predict the time-of-death of hospital patients.
What’s more staggering is that trials put the accuracy of the AI’s predictions as high as 95 percent. While there are several barriers to scale up the technology for widespread use in hospitals, they're not insurmountable, and the healthcare potential of an AI-based prediction system for the likelihood of death, discharge, and re-admission is massive. It works by taking in personal data such as age and ethnicity which is then combined with hospital data like vital signs and any prior diagnoses.  And what makes the system particularly accurate is that it’s fed data typically out of reach for machines, like doctors notes buried away on charts or in PDFs.
As the AI program is used more and more, it gets smarter at predicting the death of the patient. "These models outperformed traditional, clinically-used predictive models in all cases," explained Google's Alvin Rajkomar.
The system was trained through analysis of 160,000 adult and child patient files from Stanford and Lucile Packard Children's hospital.
When the algorithm was applied to 40,000 active patients (it was asked to predict which would die in the next three to twelve months) it was correct in 90% of cases. Google's findings were published in the Nature journal in May. ------ Hospitals, doctors and other health-care providers have been trying for years to better use stockpiles of electronic health records and other patient data.
------ In one major case study in the research, Google applied its AI algorithm on a patient with late stage breast cancer, and predicted that there was 19.9% chance of the patient dying.
The hospital's Early Warning System, on the other hand, predicted a 9.3% chance of death.
A few days later, the patient died. Hospitals, doctors and other health-care providers have been trying for years to better use stockpiles of electronic health records and other patient data. More information shared and highlighted at the right time could save lives. But current methods of mining health data are costly, cumbersome and time consuming.  Google has long sought access to digital medical records, with mixed results. For its recent research, the internet giant cut deals with the University of California, San Francisco, and the University of Chicago for 46 billion pieces of anonymous patient data. Google's AI system created predictive models for each hospital, not one that parses data across the two, a harder problem. A solution for all hospitals would be even more challenging. Google is working to secure new partners for access to more records.
A deeper dive into health would only add to the vast amounts of information Google already has on us. "Companies like Google and other tech giants are going to have a unique, almost monopolistic, ability to capitalize on all the data we generate," said Andrew Burt, chief privacy officer for data company Immuta. He and pediatric oncologist Samuel Volchenboum wrote a recent column arguing governments should prevent this data from becoming "the province of only a few companies," like in online advertising where Google reigns.
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Sooner or later, we have to recognise this, better we do it now!
John Muir, a famous Scottish environmental philosopher once said, "God has cared for these trees, saved them from drought, disease, avalanches, and a thousand tempests and floods. But he cannot save them from fools”.
 It is us, the fools that have destroyed our environment and it is from us that it needs protection. Saving the environment should be our biggest priority right now. Because by destroying the environment we are destroying our very own future. Celebrating Environment day is a small but a positive step towards saving the environment.
World Environment Day is a campaign celebrated annually on 5th of June to inspire people worldwide to stop negative environmental changes. This campaign was established to focus on environment conditions and encourage people to be the active part of positive changes in the environment on earth in order to ensure the safe future of our planet. It is the single largest celebration of our environment each year and is celebrated by thousands of communities worldwide. ------ "We do not inherit the earth from our ancestors; we borrow it from our children.” ------ This year India has been chosen as the host country for global World Environment Day celebrations, succeeding 2017 host Canada.
 India has chosen the theme "Beat Plastic Pollution” for 2018, which urges governments, industry, communities, and individuals to come together and explore sustainable alternatives and urgently reduce the production and excessive use of single-use plastic polluting our oceans, damaging marine life and threatening human health.
Since its first celebration on 5 June 1974, millions of people across the world have taken part in thousands of events to raise awareness and generate political momentum around growing concerns such as the depletion of the ozone layer, toxic chemicals, desertification and global warming.
So, events range from neighborhood clean-ups, to action against wildlife crime, to replanting forests are involved in this. ------ "The only way forward, if we are going to improve the quality of the environment, is to get everybody involved” ------ The Day has developed into a global platform for taking action on urgent environmental issues, driving change in our consumption habits as well as influencing national and international policy.
But a lot more needs to be done by us. Taking care of environment shouldn’t be a one day thing. We need to work towards it every day. Every day we should try to preserve the environment so that our coming generations also gets a chance to experience the beauty of mother earth and its wonderful nature. As a famous Native American proverb goes, "We do not inherit the earth from our ancestors; we borrow it from our children.” So let’s leave this wonderful gift of nature for our children’s too. Let’s not completely destroy it.
‘Sooner or later, we will have to recognise that the Earth has rights, too, to live without pollution. What mankind must know is that human beings cannot live without Mother Earth, but the planet can live without humans’, these words of Evo Morales, President of Bolivia should awake us from slumber.
A famous British architect Richard Rogers said, "The only way forward, if we are going to improve the quality of the environment, is to get everybody involved”. So on this World Environment Day, I urge people and governments everywhere to overcome indifference, combat greed and act to preserve our natural heritage for the benefit of this and future generations.
Krunesh Garg is working with Punjab Pollution Control Board as Chief Environmental Engineer.
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